At the last ECB Council meeting President Trichet announced – via the code word ‘strong vigilence’ – an interest rate hike at the next meeting. Use of the codeword does allow a get-out if unexpectedly bad data were to come in. Juergen (‘stark wie die Mark’) Stark’s confirmation in today’s Financial Times that interest rates [...]
With notably rare Exceptions
Paul Krugman has some fun with Alan Greenspan who wrote in the Financial Times that free markets work well, with some notably rare exceptions – like 2008. He collects a few ficticious examples in a similar vein, the most obvious of which is: With notably rare exceptions, Japanese nuclear reactors have been secure from earthquakes. [...]
The deepening Libyan imbroglio

While Cameron calls for more arms and, at the recent London conference, la Clinton has effectively recognised the opposition as a government, Prime Minister Recep Erdogan has signalled that Turkey is ready to act as a mediator in brokering an early ceasefire in Libya.[1] Erdogan is said to be in contact with both sides, and [...]
Struck by Mankiw’s Struck-ness

I am struck by the fact that the prominent Harvard economist N. Gregory Mankiw, former Chief Economic Adviser under George W. Bush, is struck by the following graph (due to the equally prominent John Taylor). So, when unemployment is high (in the US) investment, as a share of output, is depressed. And when unemployment [...]
The IMF as a Global Lender of last Resort

High volumes of currency reserves, which are currently invested in debt obligations denominated in Dollars, are looking for more secure investment opportunities. China and Russia, e.g., are requesting the IMF to emit such alternative “global currency bonds”, denominated in the IMF´s accounting unit SDR-“Special Drawing Right”. Dominique Strauss-Kahn currently supports this idea, suggesting that the [...]
Unemployment: Too much Regulation or Lack of Demand?

On the day after the presentation of the governing Coalition’s budget in the United Kingdom (24 March), an “expert” form the Adam Smith Foundation was quoted in The Guardian asserting that if every small business were to hire only one new employee the UK would have no one without a job. He went on to [...]
The euro plus pact – a plus but not a solution
It is often the case with policy and analytical documents produced by international bodies that the most important things are to be found in the annexes. In the specific case of the conclusions of the European Council of 23/24 March 2011, there are two long annexes. And you can pretty much dispense with the rest. [...]




